Disputes & Conflicts
Active wars, standoffs and disputes — tracked by where each is heading.
state of play
The dominant thread is the US-Iran 14-point memorandum signed 17 June: the Burgenstock road map June 22 agreed a 60-day window for a final deal, a Hormuz deconfliction cell, and Iran's acceptance of IAEA inspectors back in-country; Tehran immediately disputed what it agreed to. On June 25 the IRGC Navy rejected the Oman-IMO transit corridor, calling it "unacceptable," signalling Iran still controls the valve even as the strait reopens.
Gaza's phase two is stuck on Clause 8: 73,001+ killed, famine confirmed (43,400 children at severe malnutrition risk), and the Board of Peace "recalibrating" at a Cyprus resort June 24-25 after Hamas's June 12 compromise offer was rejected June 16. Only $17B was pledged in February; 1% has transferred.
In the Ukraine-Russia energy strike war, Ukraine's SOF struck the Orenburg Gas Processing Plant (45 bn m³/year, 60% of Gazprom Pererabotka output) and Russia's only helium facility June 23-24, plus the Dubna satellite communications centre. The June 25 Krasnodar depot strike was the third hit on the same facility in three weeks. The Geneva talks track has swaps but no substance: Putin proposed Anchorage, Zelensky insists on neutral ground.
India-Pakistan tensions escalated rhetorically: Pakistan Defence Minister Khwaja Asif threatened war over the Indus Waters Treaty on June 22; India Water Minister Patil: "not a single drop" to Pakistan. The RSF assault on El Obeid has 563,000 residents under siege. The Venezuela twin earthquakes (M7.2 + M7.5 June 24) have confirmed 164+ dead; USGS red-alert projects 1,000+. Watch the Iran IAEA inspection timeline, the Cyprus Board of Peace outcome, and the Hormuz corridor standoff.