https://rbtfl.xyz/en/track/disputes-conflicts Active wars, standoffs and disputes — tracked by where each is heading. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Brent peaked near $118 before a US-Iran framework began unwinding the premium [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oil-sanctions-relief https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oil-sanctions-relief Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT General License X resumes Iranian crude exports with banking, insurance and shipping cover after the Hormuz reopening [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cjng-desintegracion-mencho https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cjng-desintegracion-mencho Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mexico's security chief reports the Jalisco cartel splintering 'like Sinaloa did', with a stepson among the contenders facing extradition [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-total-peace-collapse-catatumbo https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-total-peace-collapse-catatumbo Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT ELN talks frozen since the Catatumbo massacre; violence less deadly but more pervasive, monitors find, as the transition looms [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-thaw-shaksgam https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-thaw-shaksgam Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Doval and Wang Yi note 'gradual normalisation' and an 'early harvest' sectoral track even as the MEA calls CPEC infrastructure in the China-held Shaksgam Valley 'illegal and invalid' [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/macron-versailles-iran-deal-signing https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/macron-versailles-iran-deal-signing Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A state dinner on the G7 margins becomes the unexpected venue for an initial war-ending agreement [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/marcos-scarborough-nature-reserve https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/marcos-scarborough-nature-reserve Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Manila condemns Beijing's 3,500-hectare reserve as a sovereignty grab, mandates Philippine names for sea features — while chairing ASEAN and courting a code of conduct [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-coalition-exposure https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-coalition-exposure Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An October election looming, Ben-Gvir and Smotrich demand Hezbollah's destruction while opposition brands the US-Iran deal Netanyahu's failure [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pezeshkian-domestic-position https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pezeshkian-domestic-position Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's president defends US talks and warns of economic ruin, but a new supreme leader and an IRGC-shaped parliament constrain what he can concede [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-isolation-backfire https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-isolation-backfire Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A decade after Modi vowed to quarantine Pakistan, Islamabad signs minerals and crypto deals with Trump's circle and an 'all-weather' upgrade with Xi — and India is left protesting from the sidelines [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-hezbollah-disarmament-standoff https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-hezbollah-disarmament-standoff Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Qassem calls the disarmament drive a 'roadmap to annihilate' as Israel vows an open-ended stay in south Lebanon and keeps striking past the ceasefire deadline [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/xi-pyongyang-state-visit https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/xi-pyongyang-state-visit Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing pulls Kim back into orbit after Russia's courtship — 'good neighbour, good friend, good comrade', and silence on the bomb [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mbz-iran-ceasefire-hormuz https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mbz-iran-ceasefire-hormuz Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Gulf's most hawkish leader flies to Cairo to welcome the US-Iran deal and the strait's reopening — after demanding hard terms on Iran's missiles and nuclear program [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-crimea-fuel-crisis https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-crimea-fuel-crisis Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drone strikes on refineries trigger the worst fuel shortage on the Black Sea peninsula since 2014; the Kremlin and independent press describe it in opposite terms [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-deep-strikes-summer https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-deep-strikes-summer Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's spring-summer push around Pokrovsk grinds; Putin admits the drone war is hurting the economy and vows to bolster air defences [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-zelensky-talks-rebuff https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-zelensky-talks-rebuff Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Moscow leans wholly on the Trump–Anchorage framework, demands Ukraine stop its advance, and tells Kyiv to sign before any meeting [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sheinbaum-homicidios-46-junio-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sheinbaum-homicidios-46-junio-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Daily killings at a 12-year low under Harfuch's strategy, but the rising missing-persons count undercuts the headline [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-secret-strikes-iran https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-secret-strikes-iran Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The WSJ says Mirage 2000 jets hit a Gulf island refinery, making the UAE the only third country to attack Iran — after Tehran fired hundreds of missiles and drones at Emirati targets [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With Hormuz restricted and the Red Sea still avoided, carriers reroute via the Cape, lifting spot rates 29-129% on key lanes [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-iran-war-mediation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-iran-war-mediation Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ankara condemns the strikes as illegal, mourns Khamenei, and offers Trump support to implement a ceasefire — with two-thirds of Turks wanting Turkey to stay out [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-brics-chair-nsa-meeting-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-brics-chair-nsa-meeting-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 16th NSAs' meeting in Delhi exposes the bloc's fault lines — China draws lessons from the Iran war while Tehran demands a stand on 'state terrorism' — ahead of a September Modi summit [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-islamabad-mou-mediation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-islamabad-mou-mediation Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan recasts itself from war-adjacent bystander to lead mediator; Pezeshkian's thank-you visit and Nobel chatter follow a 14-point deal reopening Hormuz and extending the truce [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-postwar-strain https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-postwar-strain Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The chief of staff raises '10 red flags' over reservist strain while Israel tallies $1.1bn+ in missile damage and 45,000 home-front claims [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/manipur-violence-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/manipur-violence-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT President's Rule was lifted in February for a BJP chief minister; by June a Kuki-Naga rupture, mass hostage-taking and fresh shootings show the conflict is mutating, not ending [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-abduction-insecurity https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-abduction-insecurity Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Gunmen seized pupils aged 2 to 16 and seven teachers in May; one teacher murdered, the rest still captive in June, amid a wider wave of mass abductions and Middle-Belt killings [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-airstrikes-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-airstrikes-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT June airstrikes on Khost, Kunar and Paktika break a brief calm; Islamabad claims 26 militants dead, Kabul and the UN count 13 civilians including 11 children [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-mou https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-mou Fri, 19 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ceasefire extended 60 days for talks on nuclear program, sanctions and reconstruction; a Lebanon dispute threatens to unravel it [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uk-russia-shadow-fleet https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uk-russia-shadow-fleet Tue, 16 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Royal Marines seize the 'Smyrtos' in the Channel days before a sanctions package hitting ships, insurers and procurement networks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gulf-arms-export https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gulf-arms-export Tue, 05 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kyiv signs 10-year air-defence and drone partnerships with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar and plans 10 European export offices [active]