Space

Launch, satellites, orbital congestion, navigation and the militarisation of orbit.

19 live threads · updated 6月25日 · follow (RSS)

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Launch & access

SpaceX7 activeファルコン9、25回飛行のブースターでスターリンク17-45ミッションを遂行 Starship2 contested-resultStarship V3 splashes down, but Super Heavy crashes and FAA grounds flights China launch1 activeChina drives toward ~140 orbital launches in 2026, a new national record Ariane / Europe3 activeAriane 6 ramps as Europe's only heavy ride to orbit, flying Amazon Leo Launch cadence & costs4 activeChina drives toward ~140 orbital launches in 2026, a new national record

Satellites & constellations

Starlink4 activeファルコン9、25回飛行のブースターでスターリンク17-45ミッションを遂行 China megaconstellation2 worseningESA: 2026年に低軌道の衝突リスクが約20%上昇、追跡物体が28,000を突破 Amazon Kuiper2 activeAriane 6 ramps as Europe's only heavy ride to orbit, flying Amazon Leo OneWeb / Eutelsat1 pending-decisionEutelsat raises cash to fund OneWeb Gen-2 and Europe's IRIS² sovereign constellation

Orbital congestion & debris

Orbital congestion2 contested-result米国、宇宙交通ルールで分断。FAA案撤回、FCCの5年デオービット義務は継続 Debris & collisions2 contested-result米国、宇宙交通ルールで分断。FAA案撤回、FCCの5年デオービット義務は継続 Space-traffic management1 contested-result米国、宇宙交通ルールで分断。FAA案撤回、FCCの5年デオービット義務は継続

Navigation & PNT

GPS jamming / spoofing2 worseningGPS jamming becomes constant over Europe as the EU readies sanctions BeiDou1 activeGalileo Gen-2 and BeiDou's refit reshape the navigation race as GPS slips behind Galileo2 worseningGPS jamming becomes constant over Europe as the EU readies sanctions

Military space

ASAT weapons1 worsening対宇宙軍拡競争が加速、中国とロシアがASATモラトリアムに不参加 Space Force5 active宇宙軍が400億ドルを突破、議会がミサイル警戒とデータ転送層を強化 Missile warning1 active宇宙軍が400億ドルを突破、議会がミサイル警戒とデータ転送層を強化 Golden Dome space layer2 active宇宙軍が400億ドルを突破、議会がミサイル警戒とデータ転送層を強化

Exploration & cislunar

Artemis / Moon2 transitionAfter Artemis II's lunar flyby, NASA turns to the harder Artemis III landing China lunar / Tiangong2 activeTiangong runs a year-long crew stay after an emergency Shenzhou rotation Mars1 transition中国の天問3号が前進、NASAの火星サンプルリターンは中止

latest

active ファルコン9、25回飛行のブースターでスターリンク17-45ミッションを遂行

SpaceXが今年74回目の打ち上げでバンデンバーグからV2ミニ衛星24機を投入

The Long Game ·2 takes ·6月25日

contested-result 米国、宇宙交通ルールで分断。FAA案撤回、FCCの5年デオービット義務は継続

商務省が宇宙状況認識を拡充。能動的デブリ除去市場と関連保険が萌芽期を迎える

Who Decides ·7 takes ·6月25日

worsening ESA: 2026年に低軌道の衝突リスクが約20%上昇、追跡物体が28,000を突破

増加する回避機動、250億から420億ドルの10年コスト、カスケードを防ぐための95%廃棄順守率

The Quiet Shift ·7 takes ·6月25日

active 宇宙軍が400億ドルを突破、議会がミサイル警戒とデータ転送層を強化

FY26は研究開発費に12億ドルを追加、予算調整法案が宇宙センサーに72億ドル、迎撃システムに56億ドルを投入

Whose Money ·8 takes ·6月25日

transition 中国の天問3号が前進、NASAの火星サンプルリターンは中止

1月に米国の資金が打ち切られ、中国が2031年までに火星サンプルを最初に持ち帰る可能性

The Long Game ·7 takes ·6月25日

worsening 対宇宙軍拡競争が加速、中国とロシアがASATモラトリアムに不参加

35カ国以上が破壊的ASAT実験の不実施を誓約、米国は衛星妨害装置を展開、ロシアの核ASATへの懸念は継続

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

active China drives toward ~140 orbital launches in 2026, a new national record

Megaconstellation batches and a surprise Long March 12B maiden flight push cadence to one launch every ~2.5 days

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

active Golden Dome's orbital layer races toward an on-orbit interceptor demo

12 firms hold $3.2B in SBI work; a new $4.16B contract and Northrop-Apex push a 2028 integration target

Whose Money ·8 takes ·6月25日

active Ariane 6 ramps as Europe's only heavy ride to orbit, flying Amazon Leo

Upgraded P160C boosters and an Amazon contract give Europe a working, if thin, sovereign launch base

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

active Amazon Leo passes 350 satellites as FCC waives, then penalises, the half-deploy deadline

Third-largest constellation, beta in five countries late 2026, but spectral priority demoted for slow build

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

active China's Guowang and Qianfan trade the lead past 350 satellites combined

Qianfan jumps back ahead at 182 to Guowang's ~168–190; two constellations planning 28,000+ spacecraft

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

worsening GPS jamming becomes constant over Europe as the EU readies sanctions

~40% of European air traffic hit; Russia's spoofing antennae up from 3 to 36; ministers' jets jammed

What Broke ·9 takes ·6月25日

active Tiangong runs a year-long crew stay after an emergency Shenzhou rotation

Shenzhou 23 takes over with China's first yearlong stay; a Pakistani astronaut due on Shenzhou 24

The Long Game ·7 takes ·6月25日

contested-result Starship V3 splashes down, but Super Heavy crashes and FAA grounds flights

Flight 12 proves the upper stage while the new booster flips and fails, investigation halts the program

The Long Game ·10 takes ·6月25日

transition After Artemis II's lunar flyby, NASA turns to the harder Artemis III landing

Record-setting crewed flyby flew in April; the moon landing now hinges on Starship and a grounded V3

The Long Game ·7 takes ·6月25日

active Galileo Gen-2 and BeiDou's refit reshape the navigation race as GPS slips behind

EU starts Galileo Gen-2 launches; China consolidates BeiDou to 37 satellites and eyes global adoption

The Long Game ·7 takes ·6月25日

pending-decision Eutelsat raises cash to fund OneWeb Gen-2 and Europe's IRIS² sovereign constellation

€960M equity raise, €2.3B for 440 OneWeb follow-ons, €10.6B IRIS² concession, but services slip to 2030

Whose Money ·7 takes ·6月25日

active Starlink Mobile targets 25M users as direct-to-cell becomes a mainstream product

650+ direct-to-cell satellites, 16M reached, voice and data added, SpaceX rebrands DTC as 'Starlink Mobile'

The Long Game ·8 takes ·6月25日

active China readies Chang'e-7 for the lunar south pole as it builds toward a 2030 landing

Water-ice hunt at Shackleton with a shadow-diving hopper; Long March 10, Mengzhou and Lanyue in testing

The Long Game ·7 takes ·6月25日