rbtfl — Space https://rbtfl.xyz/en/track/space Launch, satellites, orbital congestion, navigation and the militarisation of orbit. Falcon 9 flies Starlink 17-45 on a 25th-flight booster https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starlink-17-45-vandenberg-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starlink-17-45-vandenberg-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT SpaceX's 74th launch of the year adds 24 V2 Mini satellites from Vandenberg [active] US splits on space-traffic rules: FAA pulls back, FCC's 5-year deorbit mandate holds https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/space-traffic-management-fcc-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/space-traffic-management-fcc-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Commerce expands space situational awareness as active-debris-removal market and ADR insurance emerge [contested-result] ESA: LEO collision risk up ~20% in 2026 as tracked objects pass 28,000 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/orbital-congestion-leo-collision-risk-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/orbital-congestion-leo-collision-risk-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Rising avoidance manoeuvres, a $25.8–42.3B decade cost, and a 95% disposal-compliance bar to avert cascade [worsening] Space Force passes $40B as Congress boosts missile-warning and data-transport layers https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/space-force-missile-warning-budget-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/space-force-missile-warning-budget-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT FY26 adds $1.2B for R&D; reconciliation pours $7.2B into space sensors and $5.6B into interceptors [active] China's Tianwen-3 advances as NASA's Mars Sample Return is cancelled https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tianwen3-mars-sample-return-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tianwen3-mars-sample-return-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With US funding cut in January, China could be first to return Martian samples, by 2031 [transition] Counterspace arms race accelerates as China and Russia stay out of the ASAT moratorium https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/counterspace-asat-arms-race-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/counterspace-asat-arms-race-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 35+ states pledge no destructive ASAT tests; US fields satellite jammers; Russia's nuclear-ASAT concern persists [worsening] China drives toward ~140 orbital launches in 2026, a new national record https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-launch-cadence-140-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-launch-cadence-140-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Megaconstellation batches and a surprise Long March 12B maiden flight push cadence to one launch every ~2.5 days [active] Golden Dome's orbital layer races toward an on-orbit interceptor demo https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/golden-dome-space-layer-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/golden-dome-space-layer-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 12 firms hold $3.2B in SBI work; a new $4.16B contract and Northrop-Apex push a 2028 integration target [active] Ariane 6 ramps as Europe's only heavy ride to orbit, flying Amazon Leo https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ariane6-kuiper-cadence-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ariane6-kuiper-cadence-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Upgraded P160C boosters and an Amazon contract give Europe a working, if thin, sovereign launch base [active] Amazon Leo passes 350 satellites as FCC waives, then penalises, the half-deploy deadline https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kuiper-leo-367-satellites-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kuiper-leo-367-satellites-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Third-largest constellation, beta in five countries late 2026, but spectral priority demoted for slow build [active] China's Guowang and Qianfan trade the lead past 350 satellites combined https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-megaconstellation-batches-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-megaconstellation-batches-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Qianfan jumps back ahead at 182 to Guowang's ~168–190; two constellations planning 28,000+ spacecraft [active] GPS jamming becomes constant over Europe as the EU readies sanctions https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-aviation-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-aviation-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT ~40% of European air traffic hit; Russia's spoofing antennae up from 3 to 36; ministers' jets jammed [worsening] Tiangong runs a year-long crew stay after an emergency Shenzhou rotation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-tiangong-shenzhou-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-tiangong-shenzhou-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Shenzhou 23 takes over with China's first yearlong stay; a Pakistani astronaut due on Shenzhou 24 [active] Starship V3 splashes down, but Super Heavy crashes and FAA grounds flights https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starship-flight-12-booster-failure-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starship-flight-12-booster-failure-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Flight 12 proves the upper stage while the new booster flips and fails, investigation halts the program [contested-result] After Artemis II's lunar flyby, NASA turns to the harder Artemis III landing https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/artemis-3-post-flyby-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/artemis-3-post-flyby-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Record-setting crewed flyby flew in April; the moon landing now hinges on Starship and a grounded V3 [transition] Galileo Gen-2 and BeiDou's refit reshape the navigation race as GPS slips behind https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/galileo-beidou-pnt-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/galileo-beidou-pnt-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT EU starts Galileo Gen-2 launches; China consolidates BeiDou to 37 satellites and eyes global adoption [active] Eutelsat raises cash to fund OneWeb Gen-2 and Europe's IRIS² sovereign constellation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eutelsat-oneweb-iris2-funding-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eutelsat-oneweb-iris2-funding-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT €960M equity raise, €2.3B for 440 OneWeb follow-ons, €10.6B IRIS² concession, but services slip to 2030 [pending-decision] Starlink Mobile targets 25M users as direct-to-cell becomes a mainstream product https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starlink-mobile-25m-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starlink-mobile-25m-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 650+ direct-to-cell satellites, 16M reached, voice and data added, SpaceX rebrands DTC as 'Starlink Mobile' [active] China readies Chang'e-7 for the lunar south pole as it builds toward a 2030 landing https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-lunar-change7-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-lunar-change7-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Water-ice hunt at Shackleton with a shadow-diving hopper; Long March 10, Mengzhou and Lanyue in testing [active]