US think-tank

宇宙領域が動力学的、電磁的、サイバー的な対宇宙能力が増殖する「反衛星の時代」に入り、規範がその増殖に追いつけていないと論じる。米国主流の脅威認識を示す論説。

“世界は宇宙時代から反衛星の時代へと移行し、対宇宙兵器の増殖に規範が追いついていない。”

Analyses Iran's potential to threaten Gulf data centres and undersea cables beneath Hormuz, mapping which systems (AAE-1, FALCON, Gulf Bridge) and which under-diversified states (Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait) are most exposed.

“Iran could threaten Gulf data centers and undersea cables beneath the Strait.”

Argues that as 2026 ASEAN chair Marcos must temper confrontation to hold a consensus that includes China-friendly members, even as he deepens defence ties with the US, a gap between Manila's rhetoric and the bloc's caution.

“As ASEAN chair, Marcos must soften confrontation to keep a consensus that includes China-leaning members, widening the gap between rhetoric and reality.”

Argues integration is fragile because SDF leader Mazloum Abdi does not fully control his own movement, complicating implementation of the January agreement and risking renewed clashes in the northeast.

“Mazloum Abdi does not appear to be in full control of his own movement, a major obstacle to implementing the integration agreement.”

Frames Yemen as a forgotten war whose humanitarian collapse is driven less by active fighting than by funding cuts, currency decline and import disruption, aggravated by the regional war's economic shock.

“Half the population faces food insecurity; over 450 health facilities have closed on funding cuts, with 2,300 clinics at similar risk.”