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Chatham House · United Kingdom · India holds the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance; Pakistan warns of 'water war'
Argues neither side can credibly restore the treaty without re-engagement, and that abeyance, while India lacks the storage to actually halt flows soon, corrodes a rare functioning bilateral mechanism, raising long-run war risk over the most basic resource.
“India cannot yet physically stop the rivers, but suspending the treaty dismantles the one channel that has survived every prior India–Pakistan war.”