SBUのリュティ部隊がバシュネフト・ウファネフテヒムとバシュネフト・ノヴォイルを標的に。同夜、クラスノダールの石油貯蔵施設も攻撃
Russia
モスクワのカポトニャ製油所が年末まで停止、17以上の地域で販売制限、アスタナは正式要請未着と回答
ドニプロ＝ブグ河口に位置する全長40kmの黒海の細長い半島が、補給線を断つ作戦によりウクライナに戻った
35カ国以上が破壊的ASAT実験の不実施を誓約、米国は衛星妨害装置を展開、ロシアの核ASATへの懸念は継続
6月25日夜明け前、半島全域で爆発音。ロシア防空システムが複数地点で起動
TTFは6月を通じておおよそ42〜49ユーロ/MWhで推移。注入量は5年平均を下回り、イラン戦争プレミアムは一部しか解消されず
An eight-day shutdown of the only remaining transit route foreshadows the EU's full Russian-gas phase-out by 2028
January's automatic mechanism keeps the cap 15% under a trailing Urals average; with the grade already below $40 at points, the cap now chases the market down rather than setting it
The world's top uranium miner lifts production on the Budenovskoye ramp while holding nominal output ~10% below earlier plans
Drone strikes on refineries trigger the worst fuel shortage on the Black Sea peninsula since 2014; the Kremlin and independent press describe it in opposite terms
Novak says the domestic market is 'challenging but under control' as refinery hits cut gasoline output a quarter and Moscow turns to seaborne imports
占領下クリミア近郊で燃料タンク3基が炎上、キーウがロシアの精製・兵站拠点への攻撃を続ける中、国内ディーゼル不足が深刻化
DOE task orders to Centrus, General Matter and Orano, plus Urenco's New Mexico expansion, aim to replace Russian LEU before the 2028 waiver cliff
A 99-year US development lease over the Zangezur strip moves from framework to implementation, rewiring South Caucasus transit and alarming Tehran and Moscow
Novak floats halting diesel exports and importing gasoline after strikes knock out 40% of Moscow's fuel supply; product exports down ~15%
After two years of fragmentation, the top 10 crews drive 71% of victims; a Qilin-defector brand scales faster than any on record
The eight unwinders set a 5 July decision for August output as the ceasefire restores deliverability; Brent flipped to contango at $69 on June 25, signalling the war premium is gone
At a 35th-anniversary summit in Kazan, ASEAN and Russia adopt four cooperation documents; the Philippines' Marcos co-chairs even as he leans on Washington
Royal Marines seize the 'Smyrtos' in the Channel days before a sanctions package hitting ships, insurers and procurement networks
Russia's spring-summer push around Pokrovsk grinds; Putin admits the drone war is hurting the economy and vows to bolster air defences
Ukraine reaches 1,500 km deep: June 24 strike on Orenburg gas complex (45 bn m³/yr, Russia's only helium plant) and Dubna satellite comms centre; Russia strikes Ukraine's grid in return
FACA and allies clashed with the Azande Ani Kpi Gbe in Haut-Mbomou, driving civilians into DRC and South Sudan; the UPC and 3R disarmed in 2025 but Bozizé's CPC and new militias keep the war alive
Ship-to-ship transfers and AIS-spoofing tankers keep breaching the petroleum cap a vetoed UN body once policed
Networked EW, Lima, Pokrova, Bukovel, becomes a cheap layer against saturation drone strikes
First-ever hits on shadow-fleet enablers, LNG-tanker resales and a frozen oil price cap
Civil Contract takes ~50% on June 7, enough to govern but not the two-thirds for the constitutional referendum Baku and Ankara demand before signing
Saudi guest of honour, a US delegation back after a decade, and a president conceding 'risks of stagnation' while Ukrainian strikes shadow his hometown forum
After Abu Dhabi and Geneva rounds put territory on the table, June brings a 185-for-185 swap and duelling summit venues, but no leaders' meeting
A hijacked Magura V5 explodes at Constanța's Pier 78; three more from the swarm are still unaccounted for
Moscow leans wholly on the Trump–Anchorage framework, demands Ukraine stop its advance, and tells Kyiv to sign before any meeting
The FAO food index held near a three-year high in May; underneath, weather, fuel and fertilizer costs pushed all major grains higher
The fourth regimental set started arriving in June 2026; Delhi sounds out a fresh batch even as Moscow's own war drains stocks
~40% of European air traffic hit; Russia's spoofing antennae up from 3 to 36; ministers' jets jammed
The French navy boards the 'Tagor' in the Atlantic as Paris, London and partners shift from blacklisting ships to taking them
4,335 Geran-type drones launched in April; Alabuga output tops 5,500/month as jet variants outrun Ukraine's defences
FBI/CISA advisory targets encrypted-messaging compromise as Fancy Bear exploits a patched-by-May vulnerability
Chemezov claims artillery-shell output up 10x, MLRS rounds 12x since 2022, combat aircraft doubled
Moscow could upload hundreds of warheads but, four months on, shows no large-scale breakout
Space Force picks 12 firms for space-based interceptors as estimates swing from $175B to $3.6T
OFAC names three executives and a Kyrgyz-Russian shell network; Grinex then halts, blaming a 'Western special services' hack
Akkuyu, Rooppur and two Chinese units are slated to come online, defending a $206bn order book as Western financing and equipment routes close
US holds 42% of exports; Germany overtakes China; Ukraine is the world's top arms importer
Beijing says the US and Russia must cut their far larger arsenals first before China sits at any table
The last treaty capping the two largest arsenals expired 5 February 2026 with no successor and no inspections
With Urals near $40 the deficit forecast balloons toward ~3% of GDP or worse; one estimate sees a $25–30bn revenue shortfall, the lowest monthly oil tax take since 2022
A 50km spool that cost $300 now runs ~$2,500, the same bend-insensitive fibre feeds both FPV cables and hyperscaler racks
From Algeria in July to South Sudan's long-delayed vote in December, who votes, when, and where power actually turns over