arms-control technical
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists · United States · Russia holds the line, for now, after New START
The Nuclear Notebook's 2026 Russia estimate: catalogues delivery systems and warhead allocation and quantifies the upload reserve. Treats the treaty lapse as removing a ceiling Russia had little near-term incentive to exceed.
“Russia retains a substantial reserve of non-deployed warheads that could, in principle, be uploaded onto existing delivery systems.”