US security think-tank
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AMTI / CSIS · United States · Liaoning CSG returns, Philippines faces PLA warships at Scarborough, Antelope Reef grows
Satellite analysis of Antelope Reef (Paracels): ~1,490 acres reclaimed by March 2026, matching Mischief Reef in scale; 50+ structures, helipad, jetties, and foundations for what analysts assess as a 9,000-foot runway — the largest Chinese island-building since 2017, proceeding while the US is focused on the Iran war.
“Antelope Reef may now match Mischief Reef in area — the largest Chinese reclamation since 2017, built while US attention is on Iran.”