rbtfl.

organised-crime analysis

按立场 · 2 takes across the edition

Analyses the renewed war for Colombia's coca heartlands among the EMC, ELN and Gulf Clan, arguing 'Total Peace' fragmentation let armed groups consolidate territory and turn to high-visibility attacks on infrastructure and security forces.

“A renewed war for Colombia's cocaine center is pitting FARC dissidents, the ELN and the Gulf Clan against each other and the state.”

Assesses succession scenarios after Oseguera's death, weighing whether the CJNG holds together or splinters like Sinaloa; flags stepson Juan Carlos Valencia 'El 03' as an emerging but contested leader.

“With El Menchito jailed in the US, El Mencho's death leaves no clear successor — and a power vacuum that could trigger violent realignment.”