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Turkey's draft EEZ law revives the Aegean standoff with Greece

Turkey's draft EEZ law revives the Aegean standoff with Greece

A 14-article bill would let Erdogan declare a 200-mile EEZ and deny islands a full continental shelf; Athens calls it illegal under UNCLOS as Dendias warns against 'revisionism'

Conflicts·Energy· escalating Quem decide·O que não estão dizendo ·11 takes ·atualizado 24 de jun. de 2026

Summary

Turkey's ruling AKP is advancing a Maritime Jurisdiction Areas Law — a 14-article draft that would let Recep Tayyip Erdogan declare an exclusive economic zone of up to 200 nautical miles and codify the claim that islands do not generate a continental shelf on equal terms with mainland coasts. It sets 12nm territorial waters in the Black and Mediterranean seas but keeps 6nm in the Aegean, where Ankara opposes any Greek extension. Greece calls the move illegal under UNCLOS — which Athens has ratified and Ankara has not — and the 1923 Treaty of Lausanne; defence minister Nikos Dendias warned against "revisionism" from the eastern Aegean island of Agathonisi. Cyprus's EEZ is also implicated. The Greece Turkey Aegean dispute, quiet through a recent détente, is reopening. See Erdogan calls the new East-Med energy bloc an 'illusion' aimed at encircling Turkey.

By the numbers

  • 14 — articles in the draft maritime law.
  • 200 nm — EEZ Erdogan would be empowered to declare.
  • 12 nm vs 6 nm — Turkey's territorial-sea limits (Med/Black vs Aegean).
  • 1982 — UNCLOS, ratified by Greece, not by Turkey.
  • 1923 — Treaty of Lausanne, Athens's sovereignty anchor.

Why it matters

Codifying maximalist maritime claims in domestic law hardens a dispute that two NATO members had managed to cool. With heavy forces facing off across the Aegean, airspace violations and naval shadowing routine, a unilateral EEZ declaration raises the odds of a miscalculation that drags in NATO and the EU.

What to watch

  • Whether the bill passes the Turkish parliament and Erdogan actually declares an EEZ.
  • Greek and EU/UN legal counter-filings.
  • Any escalation in Aegean overflights, surveys or naval incidents.