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India and US end trade round with no deal as July 24 cliff nears

India and US end trade round with no deal as July 24 cliff nears

Goyal and Greer report 'substantial progress' but leave key issues open before the tariff snap-back

Trade·tariff-fronts· pending-decision El dinero de quién·Quién decide ·2 takes · ·rbtfl upd 25 jun 2026

Summary

Commerce minister Piyush Goyal and US trade representative Jamieson Greer wrapped two days of talks in New Delhi with a "comprehensive review" of an interim bilateral trade agreement but no breakthrough, India's commerce ministry said. Both sides cited substantial progress on market access, digital trade, supply-chain resilience and non-tariff barriers, yet gave no sign outstanding issues were resolved. The clock is the temporary 10% Section 122 tariff that expires July 24, after which most US imports revert to higher MFN rates. The round followed Modi and Trump's G7 push to fast-track the pact.

Why it matters

Without an interim deal by July 24, the tariff floor on US-India trade snaps back, raising costs on both sides and stalling New Delhi's "Mission 500" goal of $500bn in bilateral trade by 2030. The talks' boilerplate language signals the hard issues, agriculture and digital, remain unsettled.

What to watch

  • Whether a signed interim text lands before July 24.
  • Movement on agriculture and dairy access, India's red lines.
  • Whether Washington grants an extension if talks slip.